Money, Sandy, The Women’s Vote — Various Factors Stir Up The Election

October 31, 2012  |  

The economy, Hurricane Sandy, the women’s vote and campaign fundraising are the current topics of discussion when it comes to the election.

Hurricane Sandy will no doubt have an impact on early voting in the mid-Atlantic, southern New England and inland states. This could affect Obama more, says former President Bush and McCain adviser Mark McKinnon in The Daily Beast. The President is counting on early votes and even cast one himself. The Obama camp, however, says he is more focused now on the impact the storm has had on people rather than the election.

“I am not worried at this point about the impact on the election. I’m worried about the impact on families and I’m worried about the impact on our first responders. I’m worried about the impact on our economy and on transportation. You know, the election will take care of itself next week,” said the President.

Besides the weather, the other “W” that will have an impact on the election, says McKinnon, is the wallet.

A majority of Americans still describe the current economic situation as poor, and likely voters now trust Romney more than Obama to do a better job of managing it, 51 percent to 44 percent, according to a recent AP-GfK poll,” McKinnon points out.

The polls also play into the third “W” — women. According to that same AP-GfK poll Mitt Romney has made inroads with women, overcoming the President’s 16-point lead with that demographic. However, President Obama has made gains with men, erasing Romney’s lead there.

“A month ago, Romney’s advantage among men was 13 percentage points. Now, it’s down to 5 points, with most of the shift toward Obama coming among unmarried men,” reports Yahoo News.

According to Forbes, there are three reasons Obama is losing the women’s vote: some women think the President isn’t paying enough attention to foreign affairs; The Paycheck Fairness Act, which is meant to further equal pay, but may cause other problems for job creation; and the negative perception of President Obama as a leader.

BusinessWeek has a roundup of the various latest polls.

-An Oct. 24-28 survey by the Pew Research Center found Obama and the former governor of Massachusetts each supported by 47 percent, a slight gain for the president from an Oct. 4-7 Pew poll.

-Another poll has the race at a dead heat. An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll had both tied at 49 percent.

-Yet another poll, this one Gallup’s daily tracking poll of about 2,700 likely voters, had Romney ahead, 51 percent to 46 percent. But as fickle as polls are, the Pew poll, had Obama leading, 50 percent to 44 percent, among likely women voters, while Romney led, 51 percent to 44 percent, among men.

It’s no wonder then that both camps still have their fundraising efforts in high gear. October saw Hollywood raise $13 million for President Obama, due in large part to a fundraiser held at the home of Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith. This election cycle has seen a stunning $2 billion raised, not including the super PAC and other outside nonprofit dollars that have poured into this campaign.

“The eye-popping figure puts the election on track to be the costliest in modern U.S. history,” reports AP.

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