Why Does Hillary Clinton Have Such Strong Support From Black Voters In Upcoming Primary States?
According to new poll numbers released yesterday, the only place where Sen. Bernie Sanders is leading Sen. Hillary Clinton among Black folks is in his home state of Vermont.
There, he is expected to receive 100 percent of the Black vote. All 12 of them.
But in all seriousness, according to recent polling conducted by Public Policy Polling, among likely Democrat voters, Clinton still maintains a commanding lead over Sanders in 10 out of the 12 Super Tuesday states set to vote in March.
The exceptions are Vermont, where Sanders leads Clinton by almost 90 percent of the vote, and Massachusetts, where Sanders carries 49 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 42 percent. The only other race in which Sanders so far stands a solid chance of pulling ahead is in Oklahoma, where Clinton only leads by two percent (46/44).
However, in nine of the 12 states, Clinton leads by double digits.
And as noted in the press release:
“One issue that’s playing to Clinton’s particular advantage is who people trust most to be Commander in Chief. She has at least a 31 point advantage over Sanders on that front in every state other than Vermont. Other issues she does particularly well on are women’s issues where she has at least a 36 point advantage in every state other than Vermont and improving race relations where she likewise has a double digit advantage everywhere other than Senator Sanders’ home state.”
According to the poll, issues where the candidates have been found more evenly-matched, among those surveyed, are with foreign policy and cracking down on Wall Street. But the survey also notes that what is working in Clinton’s favor is her “overwhelming” support from African-American voters.
More specifically, the press release notes that “She leads by anywhere from 40-62 points among black voters in the nine of these states that have more black voters than the national average. Her support ranges from 63-74% with black voters in those states, while Sanders gets 12-23%”.
The states in which Clinton, thus far, has tremendous support among Black voters include Arkansas, Tennessee, and Virginia in which she is carrying 74 percent of the Black vote in each respectively.
According to the press release, PPP conducted the poll on behalf of the American Family Voices, which according to its website is a tank group that advocates for policies on behalf of middle class and working class families. The poll itself surveyed at least 500 people each in all 12 early March primary states including Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and of course, Vermont.
The PPP’s most recent poll numbers among the 12 upcoming primary states follow a previously released PPP survey from early February, which showed Clinton leading Sanders nationwide with 53 percent of the general vote and 82 percent of the Black vote specifically. The poll also corresponds with a CNN/ORC South Carolina poll, which finds Clinton leading Sanders with 56 percent of the general vote and 65 percent of the Black vote in those primaries, which will be held on February 27.
However, all is not lost for the Bern. Another CNN/ORC poll in Nevada finds Sanders and Clinton locked in a dead heat. And according to The Washington Post, that poll also “mirrors” another poll paid for by a conservative newspaper, which similarly alleges a tie in Nevada.
With that said, what do you think of the “overwhelming” support Clinton has received from Black voters so far? Do you think the numbers will change?