Will Student Loan Debt Be The Next Bubble To Burst?

August 17th, 2010 - By TheEditor

by Charing Ball

Over $36 thousand.  No, that’s not my income, in fact that’s more than I will make this year. $36 thousand is how much I owe in student loans.

Ten years and three months removed my graduating from Virginia Union University, I am nowhere closer to paying down the debt as loans composed most of my financial aid. Like many Americans, I have exhausted all deferments, forbearances and modifications options and am caught between dogging phone calls from my loan provider and digging between seat cushions, just to scrape together enough to remain current.

As a first generation college grad, I once looked at my degree as a way to escape poverty by opening doors to better career options and more money.  However, when I add up how much I’ve been paying in rent, utilities, car insurance, health insurance, food and student loans, and subtract that from my public service salary plus the money I earned through writing and other side ventures, my current finance fails to make dollars and sense.

According to a recent study by the College Board, I am in plenty of good – or unlucky – company as almost one-out-of-five graduates with bachelor degrees will not be able to make payments on the average undergraduate loan debt, which now stands at a whopping $30,500 (pre-interest). If that’s not disheartening enough, consider that for the first time ever, student loan debt now outranks credit card debt.

Let me say that again; Americans now have accrued more debt by pursuing higher education than by using their credit cards. To be exact – $605.6 billion in federal student loans outstanding and $167.8 billion in outstanding private student loans. The news is even more troubling for both the African American and Latino communities, who borrow disaportionately to pay for private nonprofit or for-profit college than a public four-year college.

How did this happen?

Well, there are a number of variables that have contributed to this perfect storm of debt: According to the College Board study, borrowing has doubled over the past decade, to roughly $85 billion in new student loans in the 2007–08 academic year, mainly to keep up with the rising college cost, which too has ballooned at twice the rate of inflation.

When students have exhausted all other forms of federal and scholarship aid including Pell Grants and scholarship, they often resort to federally-back direct loans as well as private student lending, which made up for about 25 percent of all student loans and often come with higher interest rates.

The rule of thumb has always been that graduates with bachelor degrees makes on average a million dollars more than those with just a diploma.  However, the million you’re suppose to make is off-set by the reality of a, on average, $46,700 four-year cost of tuition (including fees, books, room and board) at a public school and $99,900 at a private institution (you know, your Harvards, Yales and most HBCUs).  And while the median income for a worker, who is fortunate enough to get a job in this economy, with a bachelor’s degree is around $46k, you have to remember that average college grads don’t pull even that with the average high school grads income level until age 33.

It’s no wonder that the default rate climbed to 7.2 percent in 2009 (that rate is almost three times as much at for-profit universities). In an effort to give kids a chance in the workforce, especially when many jobs are now requiring at least a two-year degree, families are borrowing more than they can afford to pay back their loans and are being penalized severely for it.

Earlier this year, President Obama signed into law several loan reform programs, which would add more money to Pell Grants, legislate the caps of future graduates annual payment at 10 percent of their income and eliminate fees paid to private banks to act as intermediaries in providing loans. Currently, Congress is weighing legislation to allow borrowers to wipe out private student loans in bankruptcy, which currently can only be discharged through the impossible task of proving “undue hardship.”

But this might not be enough to help the thousands of graduates such as myself, who are trying to keep ahead of the debt. Is student loan debt the next financial bubble to burst?  All indicators are suggesting that it’s almost certain that student loan debt will go the way of the housing market.

And while there is no easy fix for the student loan crisis in this current structure, a combination of across the board caps in college costs plus an expansive student loan forgiveness program for those of us, whom are already out in the workforce, could go along way from keeping this from happening.

If we can bail out the banks, than we can forgive graduates of their student loan debts. And while you can foreclose on a house, repo a car, you can’t take back an education.

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  • ray stanley

    I hear you. It's time to refocused our efforts on starting businesses rather then enriching others by paying the ever increasing costs to attend college.

  • Jeff

    I would like to know what school you attended to rack up 180,000 of debt?? For a BA no less. I could see if you went as far as a Juris Doctor maybe, but a BA? I am in a PhD program and my debt is 85k. And thats where it will stay, since I am working on campus and can finish my degree for nothing since classes are free for those who are employees. But I agree with most posts here no one forced you to take out so much, yet its that predatory lending and now with an economy that has gone south. I think reform is needed for all incoming freshmen, I would suggest that no student loan should exceed 50k for PhD, 35k For Masters and 25K for BA and 10k for Assosciates. Those maximum points will hopefully put an end to colleges endlessly raising tuition cause they know the government will increase financial aide.

  • fiscalmgmt

    I graduated from college. Joined the army. Earned a masters, and am now earning a PHD. I have NO student loans, and will never take student loans because I HATE OWING MONEY. If I had to choose between loans or not going to school, I would not go to school. I hate to sound like an a**, but I don't know how people can even consider taking 100k+ out on education. That is a house in some states. Bailing out debt that was incurred out of volition is a slap in the face of people that chose not to incur debt and sacrificed education, opportunity, etc. There are plenty of ways to get an education and not pay for it…but those ways are not popular or glamorous. If we're going to bail out debt, then I'm going to go buy a million dollar house to chase the American dream and wait to be bailed out. Heck, I may even transfer to a more expensive school and incur 100k debt and wait to be bailed out.

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  • nedm

    I do not have a single penny in debt.

    Earned an associates in computer science in 2000…the crash hurt. It didn't cost me much though so no loans.

    I ended up doing dead end jobs for awhile but banked about 70K. Thought I'd get a house but then I realized the bubble was popping so why save for something going on sale?

    Went back to school and finished my undergrad. Now I'm halfway in a masters program it's not bad.

    Yeah I sacrificed a social life and lived at home but I get to do whatever I want finanically.

    The real problem with the student loan problem is the demand is being subsidized and from this the tuition rates are going up. Since there's a limited amount of space, classrooms and professors they can pretty much assure that classrooms will be filled. With that in mind they can increase tuition over and over again. The real answer is for the government to pull out and subsidize the supply rather than the demand.

    If all the student loan amounts went to states as block grants to expand their educational departments it would create more competition and drive prices DOWN not up. If there was a college in each town and university in each county this could happen. Of course it also means the value of a degree would go down further and we'd all end up in doctoral programs!

    Also students loans are basically tagged to you for life. Even if you move to another country. The USA has tax agreements with most other countries so even if you do marry someone in another country your wages will probably still be garnished. If they can get Al Capone on tax evasion in the 20's they can get students in Singapore in 2010!

    ——————————————————————————
    If anyone reading this wants to bank some money or live cheap there's a small answer..go overseas and teach English. Most places just look for a 4 year degree. They'll give you a free place to live (rustic/spartan) and cheap food. If you can bank say 10K a year or so it might be worth it depending on things. Also you might only have to work 20 or so hours a week.

    • fiscalmgmt

      Perfect example of a person who manged impulses and allocation of resources instead of seeking instant gratification. People do not know how to sacrifice anything, or how to put goals aside for a better time. Fiscal management and not self-victimization should be taught in the classrooms.

  • Rod

    85k in student loan debt, both fed and private. The gov can spend trillions on "stimulating" the economy and gets nothing out of it. Instead, how about helping out college grads with crushing student loan debt. Here's an idea, bailout student loan holders who are barely making by with trying to live and pay off the debt, wipe said debt, and poof, you have millions of people who were living with barely anything with some new freed up income to inject into the economy.

    • fiscalmgmt

      yea, POOF no loan debt, but they will be in credit card debt asking for bailouts. if someone did not consider how much debt they would be in when they kept going to expensive schools, how will that solve anything when they are racking up 10k+ credit card bills? debt forgiveness is not a solution, it is a surface remedy. the real issue is teaching people to do some basic math and live within their means. I know people with 60K+ student loans begging for bail outs, but still buying coach and prada bags and racking up a credit card bill. they would celebrate a loan bail out, but would turn around and be in debt again, asking for another bailout. i would be on board for a interest freeze for student loans so the debt does not pile up…but forgiving a debt that was voluntarily undertaken is ludicrous. there are people with high school diplomas that are doing just fine in this economy.

  • Sven

    It's unfortunate, or perhaps fitting, for Charing to have a wrong choice of words in the second to last sentence when referring to her overpriced education. Even most GED grads know the difference between 'then' and 'than'.

  • Ryan

    I owe 150,00 in student debt and half of that is interest. I have a 10 year old car a small rental and not much to show for my going to college. I think I would have opted not to go to college had I fully understood the loan situation. I take responsibility for my part it's time for the government to take its share of responsibility for lending irresponsibly. Why on earth would the government back loans knowing that people have unworthy credit, won't make enough to pay back etc., That is irresponsible and it's the same kind of irresponsibility that occurred with the housing market.

  • Adam

    I agree with Mike. All you whiners get out of the US and go complain in someone else's country.

  • Mike

    My advice to young people (<30) with career potential and high debt. Get out of the US, and get out ASAP. Australia and Singapore both are seeking qualified professionals that meet certain age and education requirements. Or marry a foreign citizen and move to their country. Sallie Mae can't touch your wages and you'll probably enjoy a higher quality of life. In other words, student loan debt is gone as far as your new home is concerned.

    Or you can stick around here as an indentured servant and wait for the great student loan bail out. That will happen right after Big Business leaves Washington and monkeys fly through the streets on unicorns. I hope I live long enough to see Nero fiddling on the White House lawn as fleets of private jets escort the wealthy and connected to lives of luxury in more stable political climes.

    • Another Debtor

      Oh Man! I read every comment on this article, and when I got to the bottom I really laughed at "Monkeys flying through the streets on unicorns" .
      But that imagery is no less preposterous than living with the huge mountain of student loan debt I will take to my grave.
      I wonder what the whole situaltion will look like in ten years. Two years even.
      Will the bubble burst? We shall see.
      In the meantime I have to stop thinking about my loans for a while. I am almost physically sick with worry, and the more I read articles like this, the more paranoid and fearful I become of all powerful financial forces seemingly beyond anyone's control.

  • Christopher Rouse

    186,000 in debt and no hope in sight. I too have exhausted all of my options. I will probably be living in my parents house for the rest of my life. Uhhgg!

    • scott

      180K in debt??? what in the world were you thinking? again, nobody held a gun to your head with these student loans…TAKE RESPONSIBILITY, STOP BEING THE VICTIM

  • Army Aviator

    This article totally describes my situation as well as so many others like me in the Armed Services trying to have a career but cant stop thinking about our drowning school debt and there's nothing we can do for it. That loan repayment option for enlistment is only for first time'rs, that's not me unfortunately. Commander and Chief, please help us to support our families and not the banks.

    • fiscalmgmt

      I hate to say it…but deploy. You'll spend less and earn more. If I can pay off a truck in one deployment as an enlisted guy, you can dent your student loans as a warrant.

  • RxAngel

    It's disgusting what student loans have done…. My graduated repayment will soon cause my payments to spike significantly and I will need to pay almost $3,000/month between federal and student loans and the banks don't care!! I honestly thought I would attain a brighter future by going to college…I'm not so sure of that anymore…

    I went to college … so now I can't afford to put a roof over my head… and I will never be able to have a family of my own because I'm drowning in my student loans … Make "perfect" sense … doesn't it?

    • scott

      Excuse me folks but NOBODY held a gun to your head when you signed the promissory note staing you UNDERSTOOD the terms of REPAYMENT OF THE LOANS. Hardly deception.

  • http://www.voptsslf.blogspot.com Mac Wildstar

    I too am a student borrower, but I did mine during the 1980's before congress started cracking down on the recruitment practices of trade schools, and before congress started imposing ANY kind of regulations and oversights on the schools.

    Will student loans be the next bubble to bust? I hope so. I need relief from the burden of these loans, and without a job, I have no hope.

  • Pingback: Save money- Skip college! « The Mother Lode

  • DC Girl

    Hello. I too, believed that if I went to college, I could qualify for a good management position and make more money, certainly enough to pay back my student loans. Well, guess what happened? I currently have a good job, but it pays 34,000 and is not enough to really make a dent in my loans. The field of study that I chose – human services – is one of the most low paying professional jobs out there. The jobs that require BA and MA degrees are still paying very low. I don't know what else to do. I am age 55, have only had my BA for 10 years. I have about an 80,000 loan, and am in forebearance because I do not have enough money to pay back these loans. I have daily living expenses that equal to more than a monthly payment on the loans. Not unless I paid 50.00 per month, and that would not even make a dent in the interest.

  • http://themotherlode.wordpress.com therealmotherlode

    This article underscores something I'm convinced of: College is a waste of time and money for many kids. The tired "Go to college so you can get a good job" mantra simply doesn't work in today's marketplace. (Helloooooo? Outsourced jobs?)

    Consider this disturbing statistic. According to the US Dept of Ed, among college freshman who graduated in the bottom 40% of their class, 76 of 100 will NOT earn a diploma, even if given 8 1/2 years!

    The greatest gift a parent can give their child is the opportunity to explore their giftings and talents and from there, develop a clear plan of action which may or may not include college. This could come in the form of a "gap" year or two after high school or finding opportunities so they can job shadow prospective careers.

    It's also high time that apprenticeships get the attention that is long over due. They are a brilliant option for many kids. They earn while they learn and voila! No student loan debt.

  • http://alleducationmatters.blogspot.com/ C. Cryn Johannsen

    It's not the next bubble to burst. It has burst, and it's a disaster.

    Join me to expose the way in which student lenders abuse their borrowers. Together we can change this.

    -Cryn Johannsen, Founder of Education Matters

  • Alexander W. Benson

    Hello, there. My name is Alex. I too, am a student loan borrower. I graduated from college about 7 years ago. During my 7 years in school I made it all the way to law school for one year, but unfortunately my debt is almost $100,00.00. Even worse, the most money I made was around $20,000.00 per year. It looks like we are in the same pickle here.
    What I was wondering was if there are any student loan interest/advocacy groups out there. I have been searching the internet for some time on this. If you were interested in forming one, please contact me at lxndrbenson@yahoo.com.

    Best of luck to all of us as to eliminating our problem. Thanks for listening.

  • anan

    180,000 I am sorry but you took out way to much money. I have no parents, spent 8 on and off years in college and only borrow 57,500. I have a BA. You must have bought some nice stuff with your money. If you have federal loans you can go on an income contingent plan. You only pay based on your income. You only have to pay a certain amount based on your income for 25 years and then if you don't pay them off the rest is forgiven. It is designed for people who work in service industries such as teaching, social work, police, etc. But anyone can use it. I can not see how anyone can spend that much money on education. You shouldn't have bought whatever you bought with that money…..cars, clothes, booze, I don't know. THE fact of life is that people live way beyond their means. They buy crap they don't need. It is called the hedonism principle. Look it up. This is probably your problem. Don't buy things you don't need. This also goes for having too many children. They cost money too. I have never replied to anything online before but 180,000 is ridiculous. You should be a doctor!

  • Jeff Cooper

    If I were you with that load, go on the contigency plan, or whatever is cheapest for you. Since student loans are discharged in death, they will not make any claims toward your estate. If you are smart to, and have a good estate planing attorney, you really won't have an estate anyway, for your inheriters will already have their names on assets.

  • Ray Hickman

    Congratulations on doing it your way. I realize that many student borrowers do throw money away. I did not disclose in my last email that the private money came into play while trying to get into nursing school. Everyone said sure you can get in, work hard and make yourself known. All the school interviews I went on (while keeping a 4.0 GPA) promised good things, but Iwas competing with 24 to 28 year olds with degrees from ivy league schools. Never made it past positive souding first interviews.

    So, in response to your post that I had good time with my money, I did not. I tutored Anatomy and worked as a lab assistant while trying to get into nursing school. The money I borrowed paid for the prep work and living expenses while I was in school, nothing more. As stated in another post, the capitalizing interest for 10 years has inflated my fed loans way above their original value of $36,000 for my BS degree. I might add here that I paid off my loans in full for my music degree in the 80's.

    Should have, could have, would have are all inmaterial at this point. I tried to move forward in an area of critical shortages and followed what I thought was sound advice. All I have to show for it now is a love of life sciences and no nursing degree and hugely inflated loans that will never be paid in ful at this rate.

  • CMM

    I am compelled to reply to your comments that clearly lack insight to the diversity of student borrowers. I am now 55 years old and returned to school in my early 30s in an effort to gain an education and provide a home environment to raise my two small children. My husband was a low-wage laborer and we were unable to provide for our family on his income alone, while I returned to school. Consequently, it was necessary to borrow not only tuition, books, fees, etc. but to also borrow extra money to supplement living expenses and a second used vehicle while I was in school. During this time I did course work during the day, had a part-time afternoon job, came home to make dinner and do homework with my children and worked a midnight job as well. I grabbed sleep here and there a few hours at a time. I graduated with an advanced degree over 15 years ago after accumulating $135,000 of student loan debt. Thankfully, I am able to make my monthly payments, but like so many others, have not even made a dent in the debt. I did not take expensive vacations and spend the money irresponsibly. Student loans have drowned generations of Americans.

  • Raob

    @ Mike Hancock

    Hey we've all been there with these ridiculous loas, however the one good thing is once you pay your way out of default. They immediately remove it from your credit and your score will go through the roof. G'luck man, I've been there.

  • Bane

    Ok first thing I know it's the real world and never asked for stuff to be handed to me. Also when I said I appield for jobs I meant all types from ones that required degrees to ones that didn't so stop acting like you know it all. As for the military think why would i want to joins so I can whine up in a hosptial full of rats without my my arms and legs cause they where blown off. So please next time think before you post and act like a total ahole.